Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Senate in 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ1099
Dec 1
4%
chance

Wisconsin is one of the most egregiously gerrymandered states in the country, with Republicans consistently winning nearly 2/3 of the seats in the legislature, despite it being an evenly divided swing state. However, liberals now have a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, making it likely that the current gerrymandered maps will be struck down, allowing Democrats to potentially win a majority.

This market asks whether they will win a majority in the Senate, the upper house of the legislature. It is not conditional on the maps being struck down.

https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/voting-rights/2023/8/3/23818858/wisconsin-gerrymander-clarke-wisconsin-election-commision-supreme-court-janet-protasiewicz

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/wisconsin-supreme-court-2024-election-gerrymander-abortion/

See also:

/JosephNoonan/will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c

/JosephNoonan/if-the-gerrymandered-maps-are-struc-7878fffb4aef

/JosephNoonan/will-wisconsins-gerrymandered-state

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