
Will a national referendum take place in 2025 in France?
Plus
7
Ṁ325Dec 31
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Article 11 of the French Constitution allows the President (or, since 2015, part of parliament along with a tenth of registered voters) to trigger a referendum on a legislative project.
In the midst of an unstable political climate, President Macron has alluded to eliciting the voters' opinion more directly this year [1]. Will he?
This question resolves YES if at least one national referendum vote (per Article 11) happens in 2025, and NO otherwise.
Only polling day counts, not announcements. Article 89 constitutional revisions don't count. A change in presidency doesn't matter either.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will François Bayrou still be the prime minister of France on March 1st, 2025?
91% chance
Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2025?
88% chance
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Will France become more authoritarian in 2024?
44% chance
If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed?
52% chance
Will the French government face a new no-confidence vote before January 31, 2025
99% chance
Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?
61% chance
Will there be a 6th Republic in France before 2050?
24% chance
Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2025?
95% chance
Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?
29% chance