When will Joe Biden resign from, be removed from, or otherwise give up the Presidency?
Plus
49
Ṁ15kJan 21
0.1%
Between July 22 and August 6
0.2%
Between August 6 and August 19 (the day the DNC begins)
0.3%
During the Democratic National Convention (August 19-22)
1%
Between August 23 and Election Day (Nov. 5, 2024)
3%
Between Election Day and Inauguration Day (Jan. 20, 2025)
95%
On January 20, 2025
Will be resolved the day Joe Biden leaves office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@mods Some unscrupulous traders are betting on dates that have passed. Please tell me how to eliminate part of the market.
@JeffBerman Unfortunately it's not possible with this market type (mutually exclusive multiple choice)
Also, it's not unscrupulous, given that the market is open for trading it's considered perfectly fine - they are just making the prices more accurate.
@JakeLowery Mods report “it's not possible with this market type (mutually exclusive multiple choice)”
Suboptimal.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
3% chance
If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?
Will Joe Biden resign the presidency at any point during this term or potential future term?
6% chance
Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?
4% chance
If Joe Biden is still US president after the November 5 election will he resign before the inauguration January 2025?
6% chance
Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?
4% chance
When will Trump leave office as President?
If impeached, will Biden be removed or resign?
9% chance
Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
21% chance
Will Biden have to step down from his current (or any future) Presidential role due to health reasons?
7% chance