When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]
When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]
Basic
4
Ṁ2422029
23%
2025 Q4
22%
2025 Q3
13%
7%
2028 H2
6%
2028 H1
6%
2027 H2
5%
2024 Q4
4%
2027 H1
4%
2026 Q1
4%
2025 Q2
2%
2026 H2
1.6%
2026 Q2
1.6%
2025 Q1
Approval is from the US Securities Exchange Commission.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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