Will anyone with at least 50,000 fans be discovered to have been using an anonymous Manifold account by the end of 2024?
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21
Ṁ1645Jan 1
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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"Fans" means Twitter followers, Youtube subscribers, etc.
The account must have been at least somewhat active on Manifold prior to the discovery of its owner's identity. I must be at least 90% confident that it does in fact belong to that person in order to resolve this market positivly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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