Will another organization surpass OpenAI in the public sphere of awareness of AI progress by the end of 2024?
Plus
27
Ṁ1738Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves very subjectivly based on whether it seems to be like some other company has become more well-known for their AI products.
(Has to be a company that isn't using OpenAI's products, so Microsoft doesn't count. And the fame needs to be about their AI products, so something like Google wouldn't count just because they have a popular search engine.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
39% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
17% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
43% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
21% chance
Will interest in DeepMind overtake OpenAI at any point before 2025?
24% chance
By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?
39% chance
Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?
35% chance
Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
82% chance