Will the IAU change the definition of a planet by 2040?
Basic
2
Ṁ72039
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdB5LDmn6A8, https://mobile.twitter.com/DrPhiltill/status/1430183289730609152,
https://nitter.cz/DrPhiltill/status/1626591220448505862
for some arguments why the definition should change. IMO, if there is definitive proof for Planet 9, they should at least consider changing it
Will resolve yes no matter in which direction the definition is changed, as long as it is substantial, i.e. not just a rewording.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a human pass the asteroid belt before 2044?
14% chance
Will Pluto be reclassified as a planet before 2050?
13% chance
Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2040?
26% chance
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
11% chance
By the start of 2026, will the number of planets in the Solar System, as per the International Astronomical Union, be exactly 8?
91% chance
Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
70% chance
Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?
20% chance
Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2030?
19% chance
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
75% chance
Will NASA go at universe in this to 2030 ?
51% chance