Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Plus
35
Ṁ13k2026
6%
Trump / yes soldiers
93%
Trump / no soldiers
0.5%
Harris / yes soldiers
0.5%
Harris / no soldiers
For the election part of the question, resolves according to Manifold Politics, with “Trump” as a proxy for any future Republican candidate and “Harris” as a proxy for any future Democratic candidate. An independent candidate winning will resolve to N/A.
For the soldiers part of the question, resolves according to https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-there-be-american-soldiers-in
Resolves N/A if the soldiers question resolves before the US election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
9% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
5% chance
Will the U.S. deploy a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran’s nuclear facility before January 2026?
2% chance
US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
10% chance
American troops in Iran before the end of 2025?
17% chance
NATO joins USA-Iran conflict before 2026?
14% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
10% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
18% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
9% chance