Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055
Basic
7
Ṁ1362055
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It should be a generally acknowledged thing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]
45% chance
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
27% chance
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
76% chance
Will "Genetic Algorithm" come back before 2031?
39% chance
By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
22% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?
5% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?
6% chance
When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will there be a child polymath of unprecedented talent before 2045?
25% chance
When will there be a confirmation* of an adult human, whose IQ score was improved by 15 by gene-editing?