Tesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before the EU
Tesla SAE level 3 car is available in the US before the EU
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It doesn't need to be available everywhere - highway only is enough. For sub-regions, it must be available in either an entire country of the EU, or an entire state in the case of the US. i.e. availability in California before any EU country is a yes; available in Poland before any US state is an immediate no. In each region it must be approved by regulators.
If it comes out on the same day in both, it's a no.
If it never comes out, this resolves no. Deadline will be extended if necessary.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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