Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2026 | Manifold

Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2026

Basic

9

Ṁ375

2027

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Multiple major western news outlets such as the BBC, Wash Post, etc. must report that a nuclear weapon has exploded on or near (<10miles) Taiwan's main island, any time through end of 2026

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2029

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2039

Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?

Related questions

Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2029

Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2039

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?

Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules