Musk visits white house if Trump wins. Or doesn't visit if Harris wins, by mid 2025
Plus
34
Ṁ31442025
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a double conditional so it should be possible to bet without worrying
The claim is both that:
If Trump wins Elon will visit the white house
If Harris wins Elon will not visit white house
The time period begins when either Harris or Trump assumes office, and ends either early if a visit happens, or at end of claim period June 30 2025.
Any visit must be confirmed to have happened officially by the white house, or by a photograph, or by a major us newspaper such as the la times, wash post, etc, excluding nyt.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
44% chance
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
48% chance
Photo of Musk in the white house by mid 2025
63% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
57% chance
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
64% chance
Will Elon Musk meet with the sitting USA president during the 2025-2029 term?
91% chance
Will Musk and Trump fall out before the following dates (either unambiguously insults the other 3 times)
Will Elon Musk become U.S. President or Vice President by November 2028?
16% chance
Will Kamala Harris join a twitter (X) space with Elon Musk before the end of 2024?
4% chance
If Kamala Harris wins the 2024 election, will Elon Musk be arrested within 3 months of her taking office?
2% chance