Major AI research organization announces autonomous AI researcher?
8
Ṁ173Dec 30
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Less snappy but clearer version of question: "Will a major AI research organization announce the development of an AI system capable of autonomously conducting AI research by December 31, 2025?"
Resolution Criteria:
A "major AI research organization" refers to well-known entities such as OpenAI, DeepMind, or similar institutions.
An announcement must be made through official channels (e.g., press releases, peer-reviewed publications) stating that the AI system can autonomously perform tasks related to AI research without human intervention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hire an AI welfare researcher before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Google DeepMind hire an AI welfare researcher before the end of 2025?
10% chance
What's your favourite AI research company?
POLL
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
84% chance
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
Will a major AI company acknowledge the possibility of conscious AIs by 2026?
69% chance
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
28% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?
81% chance