Resolution criteria

• Resolve YES if Péter Magyar is placed in police custody (őrizetbe vétel) or remanded by a court (letartóztatás) at any time before 00:00 local time on the first day of voting in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election, as set by the National Election Office (NVI) or presidential decree. Evidence must come from at least two reputable outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, Euronews, Telex/444/HVG) or an official police/prosecutor statement. (valasztas.hu, en.wikipedia.org)

• Resolve NO if no such arrest occurs by the cutoff.

• Clarifications: mere questioning/summons, fines, civil suits, or lifting of MEP immunity without subsequent custody do not count; brief administrative “production”/identity checks also don’t count. If caught in flagrante and detained (exception to MEP immunity), it counts. If the 2026 election date shifts, the cutoff moves to the new first voting day; if no election is held in 2026, the cutoff is 23:59 on December 31, 2026 (local time). (europarl.europa.eu)

Background

• Péter Magyar is the leader of the TISZA party and an MEP elected in 2024; he is widely viewed as Viktor Orbán’s main challenger ahead of the expected April 2026 election. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Hungarian authorities have sought multiple times to have the European Parliament lift Magyar’s immunity, which would enable investigation/charges; Reuters and Euronews have reported on such requests since late 2024–2025. (reuters.com, euronews.com)

Considerations

• MEPs enjoy immunity from detention/prosecution unless Parliament waives it or they are caught in the act; waiver procedures run via Parliament’s Legal Affairs Committee and plenary vote. This materially affects arrest odds and timing. (europarl.europa.eu)

• For verification of any “arrest,” prefer explicit reports of custody or remand under Hungarian criminal procedure (őrizet/letartóztatás), not generic “questioning.” (realrights.bakermckenzie.com)