In 2 years, what will the Metaculus prediction for AGI timelines be?
Basic
10
Ṁ1039Mar 28
2028
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
I will use the median forecast if the question has not resolved on Metaculus, or the resolved answer if it has.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
14% chance
What will be the AGI prediction of Metaculus in March 1st?
Will we get AGI before 2027?
38% chance
Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
27% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
15% chance
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
71% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2032?
72% chance
In what year will we achieve AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2027?
15% chance