Will a new play written by Tom Stoppard premier by the end of 2026?
Plus
1
Ṁ562027
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to “yes” if, by 31st December 2026:
A show premiers on broadway or in a theatre elsewhere.
Tom Stoppard is the author or co-author of the script.
The show stages its official premiere.
Tickets are available for general purchase.
Workshop performances and previews do not count.
Context:
Stoppard’s previous play, Leopoldstadt, premiered in January 2020, and the play before that premiered in 2015
Stoppard is 87 as of August 2024 - Wikipedia biography
As of 2023 Stoppard was writing another play but was complaining of writer’s block
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a new musical by Lin-Manuel Miranda premier by the end of 2025?
49% chance
Will there be a legitimate movie version of the Galileo musical by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will I get a cast recording of the Rocket Boys musical by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
82% chance
Will there be at least 14 new musicals for the 2024-2025 Broadway season?
52% chance
Will a new television series produced by David Simon air before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?
55% chance
Will a sequel to "Fallout: New Vegas" be announced by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will Barbie be turned into a Broadway musical by 2026?
32% chance