Will biochar intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050
Will biochar intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050
Basic
4
Ṁ1112050
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This includes biochar incorporated into value added products like drywall or water treatment. It also includes biochar spread on agricultural land or forests. This market is feedstock agnostic, as long as overall co2eq sequestration is achieved.
Total sequestered is net. The 100gt must not include losses to the air over time, and must be on top of compensation for the co2eq released during biochar manufacture.
It has potential as a mature technology that is scalable. It has some value as a soil additive and a product. As timber, biofibers and mycelium start to replace concrete and steel, waste products suited for biochar will increase. Enough though?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?
49% chance
Will enhanced mineral weathering intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050
40% chance
Will all forms of carbon sequestration combined sequester> 100 gigaton CO2eq by 2050
50% chance
Will seaweed farmers intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050?
65% chance
Will direct timber burial intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050?
36% chance
Will timber construction intentionally sequester 100gt of C02eq by 2050?
36% chance
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?
65% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 500 ppm in 2050?
34% chance
Anthropogenic olivine-based direct air capture of CO2 at >10^9 tons CO2/year before 2050?
42% chance
During what year will the cost of CO2 sequestration per tonne drop by 10x from 2023 prices?