Will the LAX/Metro Transit Center station open in Los Angeles before the end of 2025?
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(Follow-up to /CollectedOverSpread/will-the-two-aviation-boulevard-sta)
The LAX/Metro Transit Center station is a station currently under construction on Los Angeles Metro's K Line light rail, which is intended to connect to the automated people mover at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX). It is expected to open in early 2025, although the automated people mover itself is set to open in January 2026 (as of the end of 2024). Will the light-rail station open before the end of 2025?
This question resolves to YES if the LAX/Metro Transit Center station is open to the general public to board and alight K Line trains at any point before the end of 2025 (using local time). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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