Which of the following capabilities will AI have before 2030? [add your own]
Basic
10
Ṁ3612030
97%
Audiobook narration indistinguishable from human
73%
Consistently win games of "Diplomacy" against experienced players online
72%
Solve all fresh Sudoku puzzles >99% of the time (LLMs only)
40%
Improvise and perform professional-level stand-up comedy routines
29%
Write a script to a prompt that is made into a "Certified Fresh" movie on Rotten Tomatoes
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
38% chance
🤖 Which 5 AI advancements in 2024 will be the most important? [Free response]
Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
51% chance
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
71% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
38% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?
68% chance