2024 Turnout vs Election Winner
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ8620
Dec 1
0.3%
More than 2020, Harris wins
0.4%
More than 2020, Trump wins
0.3%
Less than 2020, Harris wins
99%
Less than 2020, Trump wins

The conventional wisdom is that low turnout favors Republicans and high turnout favors Democrats,

but will that change with Trump/Elon focusing on getting young low propensity voters and many (establishment) Republicans endorsing Harris indicating the 65+ demographic may have left Trump b/c of COVID/Jan 6th?

Turnout is measured by total # of voters (not as a %)

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules