If the Democratic party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
Plus
21
Ṁ1632Jan 31
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves as N/A if the Dems do not win the 2024 election.
If they do, the marked resolves as YES if Ukraine is in control of all of its internationally-recognized territory as of 2029-02-24, and NO otherwise.
See the corresponding market for the GOP winning: https://manifold.markets/BrunoParga/if-the-republican-party-wins-the-20
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
14% chance
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
84% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Which party will win the Presidency? Will the Ukraine sever the land bridge between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
24% chance
Will the US support a negotiated settlement in Ukraine by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the current Ukrainian Government hold an election in 2024?
10% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
6% chance