Will an orexin antagonist be the best long term sleeping drug in 2030
Basic
3
Ṁ302030
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Unlikely to be best selling due to pricing and generic alternatives. Would resolve yes if there is a relatively recent meta analysis showing one of the orexin targeting drugs being the best overall vs competition (not just placebo). Should be graded on a multitude of factors for long term use including tolerance, effectiveness and side effects.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?
45% chance
Will a technology exist by 2030 that will cure insomnia?
33% chance
Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
59% chance
Will an intervention be found by 2045 that reduces the amount of sleep needed in order to function by at least 25%?
35% chance
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
25% chance
Affordable weight loss drugs before 2030?
67% chance
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
37% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
66% chance
Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?
85% chance
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
29% chance