Will there be an active Manifold Zulip by end of 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ315Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Manifold currently has an active Discord. But often discussion on Discord channels needs to be threaded.
I personally like Zulip a lot, which seems to make all chats part of thread by default. But I don't hear much about Zulip having good voice chat, and it would have to overcome network effects.
This market resolves YES if there is a Manifold-centric Zulip instance averaging over 30 comments per day and at least 10 different users a day that aren't bots over the course of December 2024.
I reserve the right to disqualify any comments that I think arise mainly from a desire to affect the outcome of this or other markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
29% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Will the described dynamic mostly stop happening on Manifold by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Manifold still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
97% chance
Will Manifold raise a community round by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will SBF join Manifold by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifold Poker be released by the end of 2024?
7% chance