When will the US unemployment rate (U3 or U6) increase by >= 3% due to AI?
Plus
1
Ṁ8002050
17%
2025-2029
33%
2030-2034
17%
2035-2039
8%
2040-2044
7%
2045-2049
17%
2050+
To answer in the affirmative, there must be an increase in the U3 or U6 unemployment rate by >= 3% that is directly attributable to AI according to any poll of economists from a credible source (e.g. Associated Press, Ipsos, Reuters, etc.) where the plurality or majority of them agree that AI was a major contributor to the increase in unemployment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
40% chance
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
87% chance
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
76% chance
Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
20% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
20% chance
Will artificial intelligence be directly tied to an unemployment rise in the USA by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Global background unemployment goes up by 300mn due to AI before 2030
24% chance
Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
46% chance
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
22% chance
Will some U.S. accountants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
18% chance