Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on the number of U.S. states that enact legislation banning the addition of fluoride to public drinking water during the calendar year 2025. The resolution will be determined as follows:
Less than 5: If fewer than 5 states implement such bans in 2025.
Between 5 and 8: If between 5 and 8 states implement such bans in 2025.
Between 9 and 12: If between 9 and 12 states implement such bans in 2025.
More than 12: If more than 12 states implement such bans in 2025.
For the purposes of this market, a state is considered to have "banned fluoride in drinking water" if it passes and enacts legislation within 2025 that prohibits the addition of fluoride to public water systems. The market will resolve based on official state legislative records and credible news reports.
Background
As of May 2025, Utah has become the first U.S. state to ban the addition of fluoride to public drinking water, with the law taking effect on May 7, 2025. (apnews.com) This decision has sparked discussions in other states, with similar legislative efforts being considered in Florida, Tennessee, North Dakota, and Montana. (axios.com) The debate centers around the balance between public health benefits of water fluoridation, recognized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as a significant public health achievement, and concerns over individual choice and potential health risks. (reuters.com)
Considerations
Legislative Process: The passage of such bans depends on various factors, including political climate, public opinion, and lobbying efforts.
Public Health Implications: Health organizations generally support water fluoridation for its role in preventing tooth decay, especially in communities with limited access to dental care.
Precedents: The actions of states like Utah may influence legislative decisions in other states considering similar bans.
Traders should monitor state legislative activities and public health discussions throughout 2025 to inform their predictions.
1,000
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