Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
Basic
6
Ṁ512030
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
If two decabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle before 2030, will the richer one win?
Decabillionaires are people whose networth is above 10 billion dollars. Their networth will be considered at the time of the fight.
Resolves based on the fight that resolves this market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
19% chance
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
16% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
49% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Will the richest person alive have a net worth of over 300 billion at the end of 2024?
58% chance
Will there be manifold billionaire by 2030
47% chance
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?