Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?

Basic

Ṁ16k

Feb 1

76%

Donald Trump

10%

Elon Musk

Non-human intelligence

Vladimir Putin

Sam Altman

Gazans

RFK Jr

Kristi Noem

Benjamin Netanyahu

MBS

Jerome Powell

Hakeem Jefferies

David Grusch

The Activists

SCOTUS

Jack Smith

Jensen Huang

Ayatollah Khamenei

Tim Scott

Merrick Garland

Resolution criteria same as @Joshua market for 2023.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#TIME Person of the Year

#AI Person of the Year

#Future US Presidents

Get

1,000

and

3.00

11 Comments

41 Holders

654 Trades

Sort by:

Also, everything seems too high. The top six options alone should all be mutually exclusive, and they add up to over 100%.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Why do we have "Supreme Court Justices" and SCOTUS? Shouldn't one be removed?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@BTE Can you N/A one of these so we don't have duplicates?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 This is not a linked market. And I don't see any duplicates?

@BTE We have both Supreme Court Justices and SCOTUS. Isn't that the same thing?

I'm confused by this @BTE, why is it an unlinked market?

bought Ṁ10 NO

Suggest new people to add to the list here in the comments. Don’t want to have the same spam problem this time!

This is a clean, unlinked copy of /BTE/who-will-be-time-magazines-2024-per

bought Ṁ5 YES

If it's Biden/Harris, do they resolve to 50% each or 100% each?

@Joshua Each option resolves either 100 or 0.

@BTE Okay cool makes sense, less math this way and troll options can be N/Aed

Related questions

Related questions