Will the first artificial superintelligence (ASI) be a large language model (LLM)?
5
Ṁ462999
36%
chance
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1W
1M
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I will decide whether or not a system counts as an ASI based on [Justice Stewart's criterion](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I_know_it_when_I_see_it) and whether it counts as an LLM based on a poll. I will not bet on this market.
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