Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
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8
Ṁ340Jan 31
14%
chance
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1W
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ALL
Resolves YES if both of the following occur, in order and before Feb 1 2025:
1) Donald J Trump is convicted (found guilty) on any Federal charge
2) Donald J Trump is certified as having won a Federal Presidential Election
Otherwise, resolves NO. I will immediately resolve No if it becomes clear that the given events are no longer possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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