
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?
Plus
14
Ṁ4472030
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if after the 2030 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.
If a politically independent/third-party senator is elected, they would count as a Republican for the purposes of this market if they are widely expected to caucus with the Republican party.
Resolves N/A if these elections do not take place.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
75% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?
73% chance
Democrats control Senate in 2030?
54% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
53% chance
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
23% chance
Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
54% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?
51% chance