Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ2152026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
68% chance
Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
35% chance
Will Belarus send troops to support Russia in border regions by end of 2024?
9% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2024?
93% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Belarus fire into Ukraine territory in 2024
17% chance