Will the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?
Basic
9
Ṁ1392050
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if on 1 January 2050 the Linux kernel project continues to exist, with development activity ongoing.
A fork of the main kernel project doesn't count unless there is some exceptional circumstance where there is truly overwhelming community consensus that the fork is the "real" project (think a situation where a supermajority of prominent kernel developers and most of the key distros switch over instantly due to a legal dispute or a few individuals being disruptive, not a situation where someone forks Linux because it's dead and they want it as a retrocomputing project).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will most computers still run on silicon-based hardware in 2100?
49% chance
Microsoft releases a linux distro by 2025
42% chance
Is 2024 the year of the Linux desktop (break 5% market share)?
34% chance
Will "Kernel Method" come back before 2031?
56% chance
Will Debian ship a driver written in Rust using the Rust for Linux infrastructure by 2025?
50% chance
Will it be reasonably practical to use an apple vision pro to operate a desktop Linux workstation by the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2040?
74% chance
Will Android still be a Google product in 2035?
79% chance
Will Mozilla still maintain Firefox in 2030?
73% chance
Will Xbox consoles still be actively supported by 2030?
77% chance