
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
Basic
4
Ṁ542051
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024). Including tests. Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1% chance
Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
9% chance
Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
1% chance
Will there be a nuclear war before 2100?
28% chance
Will any non-state group detonate a nuclear weapon, successfully killing at least 1 person, before 2040?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
15% chance