If Inflation is below 5% in 2024, Who will win the presidential election? (Biden or Trump)
Plus
29
Ṁ8881Jan 1
Donald Trump94%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Inflation is below 5% in 2024 and the candidate wins the 2024 presidential election
Resolves NA if Inflation is above 5% an any month
Resolves NA if someone other than Trump or Biden wins the election
Inflation number according to:
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
45% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
What will 2024 US inflation be?
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
19% chance
Other than Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who will win the most votes in the 2024 United States presidential election?
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?
58% chance
Will Inflation Exceed 10% during any year of Trump's presidency
19% chance
Conditional on Trump serving time in 2024, who will win the presidential election?
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 1.5% or lower GDP growth in 2025?
29% chance