If Trump is elected, will America be seriously involved in any wars within 2 years?
Basic
11
Ṁ3312026
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Trump wins the election and 100+ American troops die in any one conflict between November 5, 2024 and November 3, 2026.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?
1% chance
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
What will happen during Trump's second term?
If Trump wins, will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO country within one year?
7% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
23% chance
Will a major war in Asia occur during Donald Trumps Presidency?
47% chance
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
43% chance
Will Trump "appear in uniform within the next 12 months"? (by the end of Jan 20th, 2026)
16% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
11% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
6% chance