Convictions over Reichsbürger coup d'état plot by 2025?
Plus
17
Ṁ966Dec 31
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On December 7, 2022, 25 members of a group connected to the Reichsbürger movement were arrested for allegedly planning a coup d'état in Germany. Members include several former special forces soldiers, a former member of the Bundestag, and 'Heinrich XIII. Prinz Reuß'. Reportedly, the group planned to establish a monarchic government similar to the German Empire. They also allegedly planned to storm the Reichstag building, inspired by January 6 events.
This question will resolve YES if any of the 25 group members are convicted of a crime in this matter before 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Carsten be convicted for high treason?
87% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2024?
69% chance
Will Germany have general elections before december 2024?
1% chance
Trump assassination Before 2025
8% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?
7% chance
Will Dream be convicted of a crime before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a military coup to restore order in the US by 2025?
4% chance
Will Germany pass a law introducing conscription for 18 year olds by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a coup attempt that kills more than 100 people in any rich democracy before April 2123?
89% chance
Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?
7% chance